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On Thursday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center updated its hurricane outlook for the rest of the season (which goes through November) and determined that because the summer’s weak El Niño has faded, the season will be more active than previously forecast.The Associated Press reported that as the “peak” of hurricane season begins they are now expecting 10 to 17 named storms, with five to nine hurricanes and two to four major ones, up from their May forecast of one or two fewer named storms and hurricanes. Yikes!
Why This Matters: The “small” change of one or two “more” major storms could mean a huge difference in lives lost (Hurricane Maria) or financial losses (Hurricane Michael). The good news is that the forecast precision is improving — with more time to prepare and more accurate prediction of where a storm will make landfall. The bad news is that each of these storms has the potential to be debilitating — particularly if one were to hit a major metropolitan area.
The Climate Prediction Center had said it expected 12 named storms and three major hurricanes based on the continued presence of an El Niño, which is the warm Pacific Ocean water pattern that tends to suppress hurricane activity — they expected the El Niño to persist into October.
Specifically, the Prediction Center “raised the likelihood of an above-normal season in the Atlantic to 45 percent, up from 30 percent in the May forecast” and “the chances of a below-normal season have dropped to just 20 percent,” The Times reported.
By Natasha Lasky, ODP Staff Writer Near Redding, California in Shasta County, the Fawn fire forces four thousand residents to evacuate with 30,000 residents affected. The fire was 50% contained as of Monday afternoon. Law enforcement has now charged a 30-year-old woman named Anna Souverneva with arson, after quarry workers saw her trespassing near the […]
Be a Ready Kid! Emergencies and disasters can be scary, but there are ways to help you stay safe before, during, and even after a disaster. Play Disaster Master and Help the Heroes! Head over to https://t.co/qsbwfwQRlx to play: https://t.co/6h9MCHrd9R #PrepareToProtect #BeReady pic.twitter.com/kJj9MAXuol — USACE HQ (@USACEHQ) September 21, 2021 This summer, kids across the […]
By Amy Lupica, ODP Daily Editor Yesterday, President Biden announced a coordinated, interagency effort to address extreme heat threatening lives across the nation. After a summer of extreme temperatures, deadly heat domes, and raging wildfires, the Departments of Labor, Health and Human Services; Homeland Security; and Agriculture; the EPA; and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric […]
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